Thursday, May 14, 2009

Also in Gaming-Charles Stross's Keynote at 2009's LOGIN

Also in gaming: here's a link to the text of Charles Stross's keynote address at the 2009 LOGIN conference at Seattle.

Fascinating stuff, in particular with regard to his expectations of changes in hardware performance (which he expects will see improvement by an order or two of magnitude, but not the kind of progress witnessed in the 1990s and early 2000s-"The steep part of the sigmoid growth curve is already behind us"), and the changing demographics of the gaming market (older and more sophisticated).

So much for the law of accelerating returns, but the Singularitarians can take comfort in his warning that one should take all he says with a pinch of salt, founded as it is on "conservative assumptions that are almost certainly laughable."

Still, he makes a good argument for those assumptions, which alone is enough to make this piece worth a look.

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