The idea that someone is going to set up a blog online and amass a meaningful audience--enough for them to be thought of as a public figure in some degree, perhaps enough to make a living blogging, maybe even become rich and famous doing this, realizing that dream of celebrity that is for many the sole hope of escape from being a penniless Nobody in America--was always a longshot--and indeed, an extreme longshot (as with pretty much all of the aspiration commended to everyone in this culture). From the start the ratio of bloggers to audience was so high as to invite unfavorable comparison with buying a lottery ticket (less work, bigger prize than even the winners at this other game are likely to see), while even if the idea of competition did not lose all meaning amid the overwhelming crowdedness of the field, the Internet was the furthest thing from a "level playing field" that could be imagined.
But the terms of the "game" only got worse, much worse, over time, as winners leaped ahead of a field that just went on getting more crowded with all this meant in the pursuit of eyeballs--as the Internet we knew mutated into something else. What we call "search" was increasingly subject to manipulation by ad dollar-chasers and search engine manipulators, making it harder for the Internet user to find anything they actually wanted. Paywalls proliferated, obstructing movement for those who still had any inclination to search the web themselves. Social media accounts lured people away from old-fashioned Internet surfing to just logging into their accounts to passively stare at their feeds. And of course, it has to be acknowledged that in the process Internet culture, and culture as a whole, was shifting away from long-form writing to Tweet-length written communication, and indeed from the written to the audiovisual as the "vlogger" replaced the "blogger."
As if all that were not enough the Internet's gatekeepers (search engines, social media platforms, syndicators of written content, etc.) went to war against "fake news" and "misinformation" and "extremism," which campaign was really cover for (besides an assault on those whose opinions are really offensive to Silicon Valley) a war against Internet small fry--because the endless fake news put out by the big media outlets, and of course by those who paid them for advertising, was just fine by them (all as even the most perniciously fake news-flogging small-timers got a pass if they did made the companies money by hooking users so they were subject to more ads), after which so-called "helpful" updates dealt those not on their good side one blow after another.
At that point many a blogger looking at their current level of traffic and comparing it to what they had even a short time earlier may have felt themselves in a post-apocalyptic hellscape, but as is so often the way with the survivors holding on in such a hellscape in tales of that sort yet another threat emerged to threaten the survivors with final extermination. Those chatbots over which Silicon Valley's courtiers in the media gushed so stupidly, in the course of replacing increasingly broken old-fashioned search by taking questions and giving answers, were spared their users the trouble of actually going to sites for information. (A Perplexity, for example, gives its sources, but I suspect few bother with them any more than they do the endnotes when they read a book, if they ever do.) The result is that much less actual human visitation for the sites the chatbots consult, with TollBit telling us that this last has meant a 96 percent collapse in traffic to publishers compared with search engines, just one visit for every twenty-five they would have got before, with every sign that this tendency will only increase, and fast, in the months and years to come.
In short, since at least the early twenty-first century pretty much every new development seems to have gone against the independent blogger, rather than for them--against their chances of "discovery" by, let alone "engagement" with members of a potential audience--with, I think, besides the fact of AI giving the public its answers sans any need for conventional research efforts of their own, the fact that AI may increasingly be the generator of content online, the merely human writer forced to compete with ever-growing armies of chatbots pouring forth words on command, perhaps not brilliantly, but certainly with a speed and tirelessness and versatility no human with their own interests and passions can match, making talk of "competition" an absurdity.
In spite of it all I suspect many who have stuck it out this long will refuse to wholly give up. But it is certainly making their blogging for an audience of none likely to just go on shrinking from even that level an ever more thankless task, as many others decide that it is time to walk away.
Hi Nader,
ReplyDeleteI just want to say that I've always appreciated your insight and thoughts from this blog. I like that you're genuine, and you're not afraid to speak your mind, we don't have enough of that today IMO.
Thanks for being, to quote the Fallout games, a voice of warmth and reason in this cold and unreasonable world.
PS: I was as to curious which essays and reviews you put in your first edition of "After the New Wave", and which ones didn't make the cut for your second edition. I've searched the web far and wide for a copy of it but came up empty. Just curious.
Hi Dominic. Thanks for your kind words--and your interest.
DeleteIt was all very long ago at this point. But I can say that I replaced Chapter 1 in After the New Wave with a new essay that basically boiled down the history I gave in Cyberpunk, Steampunk and Wizardry into a much shorter piece, "A Short History of Science Fiction," because I thought the new item did a better job of giving an overview of that history (having done more research, etc. by that point). The main other removals where the main text was concerned, made because they seemed redundant or less thematically appropriate due to the added content and the restructuring that went with it, were "The End of Science Fiction?"—which I ended up republishing as the basis of a separate volume—and "The Rise and Decline of the Military Techno-Thriller"--which was a starting point for my separate book about the techno-thriller. Where the appendix was concerned I shifted the piece about the show Lexx into the main text, while I cut the three book reviews, because I included two of them (of Gibson's Burning Chrome and the anthology Rewired) in the appendix to Cyberpunk, Steampunk and Wizardry (they seemed more appropriate there), and I wasn't sure of the long-term interest of the third review. (It was of a "best of the year" anthology from about that time—interesting as a snapshot of the moment, but no more.)
Thanks again for writing.
Of course, Nader. And thanks for the info - I must say, a lot of the pieces from that book are interesting from a 2025 point of view (especially "Console to Celluloid" with regard to the recent success of many video game movies, or "Golden Age of SFTV" with all the SFTV that's out there now).
ReplyDeleteThanks! And it's good to know in particular that the piece about video game-based films still has interest--things have really, really changed where those are concerned compared with how things were back in 2008.
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