How High Will the Box Office Go in 2025?

With the end of the year we are seeing not just the inevitable analyses of the now concluded year of 2024, and predictions for 2025.

For its part Boxoffice Pro anticipates a $9-$10 billion take for the year.

If the first half of the year or so plays like 2023, and the second half like 2024, this does not seem out of the question. Still, it is a far cry from the $11-$12 billion that was the 2015-2019 norm in current dollars, let alone the $14-$15 billion to which that range was equal when we adjust for today's prices, and confirmation that the market's shrinkage by a rough third from its pre-pandemic level seems an enduring fact of life. The result is that there seems to me no great surprise here--all as, given the number of big movies coming out this year (compared with 2024, when the movie that opened the summer was The Fall Guy), there seems a good chance of 2025 having a 2023-like number of big loss-makers.